These pundits can breathe easy — they made the right call by predicting President Barack Obama would win re-election. Here's POLITICO's rundown of the top pundits who got it right:
New York Times' Nate Silver:
Continue ReadingFiveThirtyEight Forecast – Electoral vote: Obama 313, Romney 225. Chance of winning: Obama 90.9 percent, Romney 9.1 percent. — Nov. 6, in The New York Times.
Former Obama car czar Steve Rattner:
"Obama will get at least 290 electoral votes." — Nov. 1, on Twitter.
Washington Examiner's Timothy P. Carney:
"The 292-246 Obama victory is most likely, but I wouldn't be surprised at all by anything up to 333 for Obama, or up to 269 (a tie) for Romney." — Nov. 1, in The Washington Examiner.
Obama's half-brother Malik Obama:
Malik Obama said the "leader's African family is optimistic that he will win Tuesday's election." — Nov. 4, in an interview with The Associated Press.
NPR analyst and ABC commentator Cokie Roberts:
Obama 294, Romney 234. "I didn't give him Colorado, because he couldn't get them all. At some point, the law of averages kicks in. But I did give him Virginia." — Nov. 4, ABC's "This Week."
National Journal's Ronald Brownstein:
Obama 288, Romney 250. "I have him at 288. It could be 303, it could be 271." — Nov. 4, ABC's "This Week."
Republican strategist Matthew Dowd:
Obama 303, Romney 235. "I think that's been a pretty stable number over the course, it could vary by a few. … I think there is still a chance Mitt Romney wins the popular vote, but loses the electoral college." — Nov. 4, ABC's "This Week."
Democratic strategist Donna Brazile:
Obama 313, Romney 225. "I've been going back in forth between 303, 313." — Nov. 4, ABC's "This Week."
Washington Post's Chris Cillizza:
Obama 277, Romney 261. — Nov. 3, in The Washington Post.
Fox News contributor Juan Williams:
Obama 298, Romney 240. — Nov. 3, in The Washington Post.
MSNBC's Joe Scarborough:
"If I'm betting, I'm betting on the president, because every poll's lined up for the president." But he added that nobody saw the Reagan Revolution coming and that everyone in 2004 thought John Kerry won before the results came in. — Nov. 4, on MSNBC.
CNN political analyst Roland Martin:
"I think President Obama 281 Electoral College votes. … Folks who are saying more than 300, I don't think so. This is an extremely tight election." — Nov. 6, on CNN.
Washington Post's Ezra Klein:
Obama 290, Romney 248. "The polls will prove to be right. President Obama will win with 290 electoral votes. … if Obama ends up winning with 303, I won't be surprised. That said, 290 is what a conservative read of the polls says." — Nov. 5, in The Washington Post.
Washington Examiner's Philip Klein:
Obama 277, Romney 261. "I also believe that by and large, despite some high profile errors, polling is generally accurate when results from multiple pollsters overwhelmingly point in one direction." — Nov. 5, in the Examiner.
New York Times' Ross Douthat:
Obama 271, Romney 267. But "a Romney victory would not surprise me in the slightest. Nor would a clear Obama electoral college win. I would be surprised to see Obama reach 51 percent, or Romney break 300 electoral votes." — Nov. 5, in the Times.
Daily Kos founder Markos Moulitsas:
Obama 332, Romney 206. "Tomorrow, we'll have real results, and the day can't have come any sooner. Particularly since President Barack Obama is winning handily." — Nov. 5, in the Daily Kos.
CNBC's Jim Cramer:
Obama 440, Romney 98. — Nov. 3, in The Washington Post.
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